Model Predictions
| Model | Columbia | Harvard | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Harvard -6 (65-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.