Model Predictions
| Model | Pennsylvania | Brown | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 97.1% | 2.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 97.2% | 2.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brown -35 (48-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.