Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma | Baylor | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 98.1% | 1.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 98.2% | 1.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor -9 (59-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.