Model Predictions
| Model | Pennsylvania | Yale | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 98.2% | 1.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 98.2% | 1.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Yale -25 (36-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.