Model Predictions
| Model | Canisius | Iona | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iona +10 (66-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.