Model Predictions
| Model | Weber State | Eastern Washington | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Washington +12 (95-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.