Model Predictions
| Model | Delaware | Drexel | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drexel -4 (65-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.