Model Predictions
| Model | Princeton | Brown | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 98.5% | 1.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 98.5% | 1.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brown -16 (60-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.