Model Predictions
| Model | Stanford | UCLA | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA -15 (63-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.