Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Christian | Rice | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rice -13 (70-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.