Model Predictions
| Model | Charleston Southern | Winthrop | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Winthrop +34 (75-41). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.