Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern | Purdue | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 0.9% | 99.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue +19 (70-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.