Model Predictions
| Model | George Washington | Duquesne | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duquesne -8 (76-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.