Model Predictions
| Model | Wake Forest | Davidson | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Davidson +5 (54-49). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.