Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville | Georgetown | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Georgetown +2 (61-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.