Model Predictions
| Model | Rhode Island | Fordham | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fordham +24 (92-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.