Model Predictions
| Model | Texas | Oklahoma | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma +24 (83-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.