Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary | Navy | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Navy +8 (80-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.