Model Predictions
| Model | Southern | Jackson State | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Jackson State -7 (72-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.