Model Predictions
| Model | Fordham | Xavier | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier +18 (97-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.