Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia | Wake Forest | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wake Forest -9 (67-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.