Model Predictions
| Model | Drexel | Northeastern | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northeastern -1 (56-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.