Model Predictions
| Model | Massachusetts | Virginia Tech | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Tech -8 (41-49). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.