Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado | Texas | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas +10 (75-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.