Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma | Texas Tech | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Tech -17 (61-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.