Model Predictions
| Model | Duquesne | Temple | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Temple +44 (81-37). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.