Model Predictions
| Model | Lehigh | Navy | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Navy +25 (100-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.