Model Predictions
| Model | Alcorn State | Jackson State | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jackson State +1 (73-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.