Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina | Georgia Tech | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia Tech -17 (53-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.