Model Predictions
| Model | Rutgers | Georgetown | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgetown +16 (71-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.