Model Predictions
| Model | Maine | Delaware | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Delaware -15 (56-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.