Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Greensboro | Davidson | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Davidson -2 (75-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.