Model Predictions
| Model | Pennsylvania | Cornell | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.6% | 7.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cornell -3 (47-50). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.