Model Predictions
| Model | South Carolina State | Coppin State | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Coppin State -1 (59-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.