Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette | Colgate | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colgate -6 (58-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.