Model Predictions
| Model | Yale | Brown | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brown +8 (76-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.