Model Predictions
| Model | Utah | Air Force | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.6% | 9.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 99.0% | 1.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 99.0% | 1.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force -1 (63-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.