Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona | Weber State | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Weber State -10 (66-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.