Model Predictions
| Model | Princeton | Cornell | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cornell -15 (44-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.