Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Tech | Baylor | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Baylor +14 (71-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.