Model Predictions
| Model | Nebraska | Texas | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas +27 (82-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.