Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier | Temple | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Temple +19 (59-40). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.