Model Predictions
| Model | Brown | Northeastern | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northeastern +20 (80-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.