Model Predictions
| Model | Florida A&M | Howard | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Howard -6 (67-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.