Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Asheville | High Point | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: High Point +2 (60-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.