Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State | Hampton | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Hampton +9 (82-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.