Model Predictions
| Model | Green Bay | Wright State | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.3% | 4.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.3% | 4.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wright State +16 (60-44). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.