Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Washington | Weber State | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Weber State -12 (78-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.