Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky | Vanderbilt | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Vanderbilt -8 (73-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.