Model Predictions
| Model | Texas | Texas Tech | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Tech -13 (59-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.